Election Special: The 13 Keys to the White House
Join Husband and Wife in a special Patreon episode of Sacrilegious Discourse, where they delve into the intriguing world of election predictions. As the country stands on the brink of another pivotal election, our hosts explore the 13 Keys to the White House, a predictive model developed by historian Alan Lichtman, which has accurately forecasted presidential outcomes since 1984.
Here's what we're unpacking:
1. The 13 Keys Explained: Discover the true or false statements that form the backbone of Lichtman’s model and how they relate to the current political landscape.
2. The Role of Charisma: Dive into the debate over what defines a charismatic leader and how this impacts the prediction model, with a focus on Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
3. Predictive Challenges: Explore the controversies and limitations of the 13 Keys, especially in the context of today’s unique political climate.
4. The Importance of Voting: Despite predictive models, the emphasis remains on the power of individual votes and the necessity of participation in democracy.
Whether you're here for the political analysis or just some engaging discussion, this episode offers a thought-provoking look at the upcoming election. For more content, visit our website: SACRILEGIOUSDISCOURSE.COM and join our Discord community for live episodes every Wednesday: https://discord.gg/VBnyTYV6nC
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
[00:00:00] Welcome to Sacrilegious Discourse. For this is what the Sovereign Lord says! Why do you need prophets to tell people who you are and what you want? If you can justify everything that the God of the Bible has done, then you can justify any of your behavior. A lot of this mentality is trickling into what is now mainstream right-wing Christianity. I am capable of empathy greater than this God of the Bible. This is a Bible that they tell kids. This is a Bible that they tell kids. This is a Bible that they tell kids. This is a Bible that they tell kids. This is a Bible that they tell kids.
[00:00:29] This is the good Lord. This is the good book. He is fantasizing about murder. Mass murder. Head over to SacrilegiousDiscourse.com right now to find out how to leave us a review or support us on Patreon. Wife! Do you know what we're doing today? Well, we're doing a special episode. Very special episode. Yeah, so it's our... It's our Patreon! That's right. And what we're doing today, I believe,
[00:01:03] is due to the fact that we all... Really? You're gonna steal my thunder? Oh, I guess not. You go right ahead, Wife. This was my topic. I'm so sorry. I thought that since it's our last Patreon before the election, that we should do something election-related. And I was depressed about the fact that polls show that Harris and Trump are tied. Uh-huh. Until I came across this guy named Alan Lickson.
[00:01:34] Yeah. And he has 13 keys, just like in a fantasy novel. I see. And he turned some of the keys, and he says Harris is gonna win, and I wanted to talk about that. Okay. And that's my topic. I get to introduce it. Apparently, I wasn't allowed to talk about it. I don't know. No, it's just... You were like, well, let me tell you what we're doing. And I'm like, oh, Thunderstealer. Yeah. Well, I didn't get to talk about it. You took it right back. So, it's all yours now. I did it.
[00:02:03] I said it. You did. You did. That's what we're doing. That's what we're doing. Yeah. All right. Let's do this. Okie dokie.
[00:02:15] All right. Let's talk about this Mr. Lichtman guy. I do want to mention one thing before we hop in. Okay. And that's that I did mention that this was a Patreon-only episode. No, I mentioned it because I sing it.
[00:02:27] You did. It's Patreon. Right. But I did want to say that, obviously, we give away a little bit more than just the intro, so you get to listen to a little bit of a teaser as we're going into this.
[00:02:39] Teaser. And it will end eventually. Half, you know, like part of the way through the, like five minutes usually into the episode.
[00:02:45] And then you got to go over to Patreon. And then if you want to listen to more, you got to go to Patreon to listen to more.
[00:02:49] So, it's patreon.com forward slash sacrilegious discourse.
[00:02:53] And just for two bucks a month, you can get these as part of that membership.
[00:02:58] Or there's another way.
[00:03:01] You can join our Discord.
[00:03:03] And there's always a link in the bottom of our show notes.
[00:03:06] I mean, it's too late for this one.
[00:03:08] It's too late for this one.
[00:03:08] If you're hearing this.
[00:03:10] Yeah. You go down to that link, you join our Discord server, and then every Wednesday night at 10 p.m. Eastern, you can hear every live episode, which includes all of our Patreon episodes that we do.
[00:03:21] And we have a very fun crowd.
[00:03:23] We do. We do.
[00:03:24] And I tell them to fuck off, and they tell me to fuck off.
[00:03:28] It's just fun for all.
[00:03:28] It's so fun.
[00:03:29] Mostly wife, though.
[00:03:33] That's not true. Fern always tells me fuck off, usually first.
[00:03:37] Right. Okay.
[00:03:38] So there.
[00:03:39] All right.
[00:03:39] All right.
[00:03:40] So let's talk about Mr. Lichtman and why he has keys.
[00:03:43] Yes, let's do that.
[00:03:45] I mentioned in the intro that I've been really depressed about how close this election is.
[00:03:51] Sure.
[00:03:52] How do you feel about it?
[00:03:55] I don't know.
[00:03:57] I think I have distanced myself from the news a bit because there's not much that I can do to control what's going to happen or not happen.
[00:04:07] Yeah.
[00:04:07] Right.
[00:04:07] I mean, one of them's going to win.
[00:04:10] The end.
[00:04:10] Well, yeah.
[00:04:11] Yeah.
[00:04:11] And to be fair, like, you know, the news that I have taken in or am exposed to is very right-leaning where I work now.
[00:04:20] And so I don't really I don't want to spend as much time as I would need to to undo all of that.
[00:04:28] Yeah.
[00:04:28] Undo the harm because I feel like I'd have to listen to left wing news like 24 seven to just, you know, get that taste out of my brain.
[00:04:35] Yeah.
[00:04:36] So and instead you just try to block it all out.
[00:04:38] Right.
[00:04:38] Yeah.
[00:04:39] I'm just like, whatever.
[00:04:40] You know what?
[00:04:40] That actually worries me that one day you'll come home and you'll say something and it'll be a right-leaning thing.
[00:04:48] And I'll be like, you must quit your job immediately.
[00:04:51] No.
[00:04:51] You cannot go back.
[00:04:52] I don't think that you know that would never happen.
[00:04:55] I hope that wouldn't happen.
[00:04:56] Yeah.
[00:04:56] No.
[00:04:57] If it does, it's time to take me to the doctor.
[00:04:58] That's what I'm saying.
[00:04:59] What's going wrong?
[00:04:59] Yeah.
[00:05:00] So why is my husband suddenly Republican?
[00:05:03] This shit is not OK.
[00:05:06] OK.
[00:05:07] So, yeah, I was depressed about how close it is because that's bullshit.
[00:05:12] Right.
[00:05:13] I did hear some stuff that kind of made me think, all right, all right, all right.
[00:05:18] That's true.
[00:05:18] Like, what do you mean polls?
[00:05:20] Like, I've never been polled in my life and nobody I know has ever been polled.
[00:05:25] And moreover, when you do your polls, how are you reaching people?
[00:05:29] Like, are you calling them on the telephone?
[00:05:32] I just got polled this last time around.
[00:05:32] You did?
[00:05:33] Yeah.
[00:05:33] I didn't know that.
[00:05:34] I, yeah.
[00:05:35] You didn't tell me about it.
[00:05:36] Why are you looking at me like...
[00:05:37] I took the call while you were here.
[00:05:39] I was answering the questions while you were here.
[00:05:41] I don't recall that.
[00:05:42] You were literally sitting right in the other room and I was talking to the person.
[00:05:45] I don't recall that at all.
[00:05:46] But anyway.
[00:05:47] OK.
[00:05:48] So you...
[00:05:48] That's all.
[00:05:48] .
